| Metric | SPY | ARB |
|---|---|---|
| Risk-Free Proxy | French RF + recent BIL | French RF + recent BIL |
| Time in Market | 100.0% | 97.0% |
| Cumulative Return | 18.6% | 2.29% |
| CAGR﹪ | 40.67% | 4.63% |
| Sharpe | 2.32 | 0.24 |
| Prob. Sharpe Ratio | 95.04% | 56.74% |
| Smart Sharpe | 2.3 | 0.17 |
| Sortino | 3.78 | 0.35 |
| Smart Sortino | 3.75 | 0.25 |
| Sortino/√2 | 2.67 | 0.25 |
| Smart Sortino/√2 | 2.65 | 0.18 |
| Omega | 1.54 | 1.24 |
| Max Drawdown | -4.49% | -1.54% |
| Max DD Date | 2026-06-10 | 2026-07-02 |
| Max DD Period Start | 2026-06-03 | 2026-06-08 |
| Max DD Period End | 2026-07-31 | 2026-07-08 |
| Longest DD Days | 59 | 48 |
| Volatility (ann.) | 13.55% | 4.18% |
| R^2 | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| Information Ratio | -0.14 | -0.14 |
| Calmar | 9.05 | 3.0 |
| Skew | 0.1 | 0.08 |
| Kurtosis | 1.12 | 3.64 |
| Ulcer Performance Index | 11.86 | 4.35 |
| Risk-Adjusted Return | 40.67% | 4.78% |
| Risk-Return Ratio | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| Avg. Return | 0.15% | 0.02% |
| Avg. Win | 0.8% | 0.19% |
| Avg. Loss | -0.57% | -0.19% |
| Win/Loss Ratio | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Profit Ratio | 1.12 | 0.75 |
| Expected Daily | 0.14% | 0.02% |
| Expected Monthly | 2.47% | 0.32% |
| Expected Yearly | 18.6% | 2.29% |
| Kelly Criterion | 21.1% | 8.93% |
| Risk of Ruin | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daily Value-at-Risk | -1.26% | -0.41% |
| Expected Shortfall (cVaR) | -1.77% | -0.62% |
| Max Consecutive Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Max Consecutive Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Gain/Pain Ratio | 0.54 | 0.24 |
| Gain/Pain (1M) | 10.92 | 19.48 |
| Payoff Ratio | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Profit Factor | 1.54 | 1.24 |
| Common Sense Ratio | 2.01 | 1.33 |
| CPC Index | 1.16 | 0.67 |
| Tail Ratio | 1.3 | 1.07 |
| Outlier Win Ratio | 3.21 | 5.16 |
| Outlier Loss Ratio | 3.16 | 3.83 |
| MTD | 1.08% | 0.81% |
| 3M | 3.82% | 1.32% |
| 6M | 18.6% | 2.29% |
| YTD | 18.6% | 2.29% |
| 1Y | 18.6% | 2.29% |
| 3Y (ann.) | 40.67% | 4.63% |
| 5Y (ann.) | 40.67% | 4.63% |
| 10Y (ann.) | 40.67% | 4.63% |
| All-time (ann.) | 40.67% | 4.63% |
| Best Day | 2.91% | 0.93% |
| Worst Day | -2.58% | -1.03% |
| Best Month | 10.51% | 0.81% |
| Worst Month | -1.03% | -0.07% |
| Best Year | 18.6% | 2.29% |
| Worst Year | 18.6% | 2.29% |
| Avg. Drawdown | -1.13% | -0.48% |
| Avg. Drawdown Days | 9 | 12 |
| Recovery Factor | 3.9 | 1.5 |
| Ulcer Index | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Serenity Index | 2.75 | 1.01 |
| Avg. Up Month | 4.75% | 0.65% |
| Avg. Down Month | - | - |
| Win Days | 53.97% | 54.55% |
| Win Month | 71.43% | 71.43% |
| Win Quarter | 66.67% | 100.0% |
| Win Year | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Beta | - | 0.07 |
| Alpha | - | 0.02 |
| Correlation | - | 22.36% |
| Treynor Ratio | - | 33.21% |
| Year | SPY | ARB | Multiplier | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 18.60 | 2.29 | 0.12 | - |
| Started | Recovered | Drawdown | Days |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | 2026-07-08 | -1.54 | 31 |
| 2026-07-10 | 2026-08-26 | -1.04 | 48 |
| 2026-08-28 | 2026-09-18 | -0.80 | 22 |
| 2026-05-13 | 2026-06-04 | -0.69 | 23 |
| 2026-04-23 | 2026-04-23 | -0.61 | 1 |
| 2026-05-07 | 2026-05-11 | -0.41 | 5 |
| 2026-03-25 | 2026-03-30 | -0.34 | 6 |
| 2026-05-01 | 2026-05-05 | -0.34 | 5 |
| 2026-04-07 | 2026-04-07 | -0.19 | 1 |
| 2026-04-10 | 2026-04-16 | -0.14 | 7 |