| Metric | SPY | NTSI |
|---|---|---|
| Risk-Free Proxy | French RF + recent BIL | French RF + recent BIL |
| Time in Market | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Cumulative Return | 17.87% | 14.49% |
| CAGR﹪ | 18.02% | 14.62% |
| Sharpe | 1.04 | 0.69 |
| Prob. Sharpe Ratio | 84.73% | 75.45% |
| Smart Sharpe | 1.01 | 0.58 |
| Sortino | 1.51 | 1.01 |
| Smart Sortino | 1.47 | 0.85 |
| Sortino/√2 | 1.07 | 0.71 |
| Smart Sortino/√2 | 1.04 | 0.6 |
| Omega | 1.25 | 1.17 |
| Max Drawdown | -8.88% | -12.33% |
| Max DD Date | 2026-03-30 | 2026-03-20 |
| Max DD Period Start | 2026-01-28 | 2026-02-26 |
| Max DD Period End | 2026-04-13 | 2026-07-29 |
| Longest DD Days | 76 | 154 |
| Volatility (ann.) | 12.99% | 15.76% |
| R^2 | 0.59 | 0.59 |
| Information Ratio | -0.02 | -0.02 |
| Calmar | 2.03 | 1.19 |
| Skew | -0.15 | -0.02 |
| Kurtosis | 1.05 | 1.4 |
| Ulcer Performance Index | 8.3 | 4.13 |
| Risk-Adjusted Return | 18.02% | 14.62% |
| Risk-Return Ratio | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| Avg. Return | 0.07% | 0.06% |
| Avg. Win | 0.73% | 0.86% |
| Avg. Loss | -0.7% | -0.88% |
| Win/Loss Ratio | 1.04 | 0.98 |
| Profit Ratio | 0.94 | 0.85 |
| Expected Daily | 0.07% | 0.05% |
| Expected Monthly | 1.27% | 1.05% |
| Expected Yearly | 8.57% | 7.0% |
| Kelly Criterion | 9.09% | 6.95% |
| Risk of Ruin | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daily Value-at-Risk | -1.28% | -1.57% |
| Expected Shortfall (cVaR) | -1.72% | -2.2% |
| Max Consecutive Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Max Consecutive Losses | 4 | 6 |
| Gain/Pain Ratio | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| Gain/Pain (1M) | 2.6 | 1.47 |
| Payoff Ratio | 1.04 | 0.98 |
| Profit Factor | 1.25 | 1.17 |
| Common Sense Ratio | 1.24 | 1.05 |
| CPC Index | 0.7 | 0.62 |
| Tail Ratio | 0.99 | 0.9 |
| Outlier Win Ratio | 2.88 | 3.8 |
| Outlier Loss Ratio | 3.19 | 3.31 |
| MTD | 1.08% | -1.53% |
| 3M | 3.82% | 0.72% |
| 6M | 19.85% | 13.49% |
| YTD | 14.3% | 9.22% |
| 1Y | 17.87% | 14.49% |
| 3Y (ann.) | 18.02% | 14.62% |
| 5Y (ann.) | 18.02% | 14.62% |
| 10Y (ann.) | 18.02% | 14.62% |
| All-time (ann.) | 18.02% | 14.62% |
| Best Day | 2.91% | 3.39% |
| Worst Day | -2.7% | -3.48% |
| Best Month | 10.51% | 5.44% |
| Worst Month | -4.94% | -8.5% |
| Best Year | 14.3% | 9.22% |
| Worst Year | 3.13% | 4.83% |
| Avg. Drawdown | -1.71% | -2.09% |
| Avg. Drawdown Days | 13 | 17 |
| Recovery Factor | 1.94 | 1.2 |
| Ulcer Index | 0.02 | 0.04 |
| Serenity Index | 1.16 | 0.46 |
| Avg. Up Month | 2.83% | 2.38% |
| Avg. Down Month | -2.98% | -4.28% |
| Win Days | 53.6% | 54.0% |
| Win Month | 76.92% | 69.23% |
| Win Quarter | 80.0% | 80.0% |
| Win Year | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Beta | - | 0.93 |
| Alpha | - | -0.01 |
| Correlation | - | 76.9% |
| Treynor Ratio | - | 15.54% |
| Year | SPY | NTSI | Multiplier | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.13 | 4.83 | 1.54 | + |
| 2026 | 14.30 | 9.22 | 0.64 | - |
| Started | Recovered | Drawdown | Days |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | 2026-07-29 | -12.33 | 154 |
| 2025-11-13 | 2025-12-10 | -5.00 | 28 |
| 2026-08-14 | 2026-09-22 | -4.24 | 40 |
| 2025-10-07 | 2025-10-15 | -2.73 | 9 |
| 2025-10-29 | 2025-11-11 | -2.38 | 14 |
| 2026-01-13 | 2026-01-22 | -2.05 | 10 |
| 2026-01-28 | 2026-02-05 | -1.61 | 9 |
| 2025-09-24 | 2025-09-30 | -1.26 | 7 |
| 2025-12-12 | 2025-12-19 | -1.23 | 8 |
| 2026-02-12 | 2026-02-23 | -1.02 | 12 |