| Metric | SPY | PCFIX |
|---|---|---|
| Risk-Free Proxy | French RF + recent BIL | French RF + recent BIL |
| Time in Market | 100.0% | 98.0% |
| Cumulative Return | 75.63% | 46.93% |
| CAGR﹪ | 12.01% | 8.06% |
| Sharpe | 0.52 | 0.29 |
| Prob. Sharpe Ratio | 87.82% | 73.77% |
| Smart Sharpe | 0.51 | 0.28 |
| Sortino | 0.75 | 0.41 |
| Smart Sortino | 0.73 | 0.4 |
| Sortino/√2 | 0.53 | 0.29 |
| Smart Sortino/√2 | 0.52 | 0.28 |
| Omega | 1.14 | 1.08 |
| Max Drawdown | -24.5% | -29.47% |
| Max DD Date | 2022-10-12 | 2022-09-26 |
| Max DD Period Start | 2022-01-04 | 2021-11-09 |
| Max DD Period End | 2023-12-12 | 2024-03-12 |
| Longest DD Days | 708 | 855 |
| Volatility (ann.) | 17.2% | 22.45% |
| R^2 | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| Information Ratio | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Calmar | 0.49 | 0.27 |
| Skew | 0.33 | -0.02 |
| Kurtosis | 8.96 | 2.7 |
| Ulcer Performance Index | 8.93 | 3.7 |
| Risk-Adjusted Return | 12.01% | 8.22% |
| Risk-Return Ratio | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| Avg. Return | 0.06% | 0.04% |
| Avg. Win | 0.89% | 1.19% |
| Avg. Loss | -0.88% | -1.24% |
| Win/Loss Ratio | 1.01 | 0.97 |
| Profit Ratio | 0.85 | 0.89 |
| Expected Daily | 0.05% | 0.03% |
| Expected Monthly | 0.93% | 0.63% |
| Expected Yearly | 9.84% | 6.62% |
| Kelly Criterion | 7.59% | 0.96% |
| Risk of Ruin | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daily Value-at-Risk | -1.73% | -2.29% |
| Expected Shortfall (cVaR) | -2.58% | -3.27% |
| Max Consecutive Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Max Consecutive Losses | 6 | 7 |
| Gain/Pain Ratio | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| Gain/Pain (1M) | 0.8 | 0.38 |
| Payoff Ratio | 1.01 | 0.97 |
| Profit Factor | 1.14 | 1.08 |
| Common Sense Ratio | 1.15 | 1.14 |
| CPC Index | 0.62 | 0.54 |
| Tail Ratio | 1.01 | 1.06 |
| Outlier Win Ratio | 3.4 | 3.21 |
| Outlier Loss Ratio | 3.79 | 3.61 |
| MTD | 1.47% | 2.14% |
| 3M | 1.46% | -0.94% |
| 6M | 6.94% | 7.09% |
| YTD | 13.33% | 19.76% |
| 1Y | 13.84% | 25.82% |
| 3Y (ann.) | 21.0% | 19.68% |
| 5Y (ann.) | 12.96% | 11.42% |
| 10Y (ann.) | 12.01% | 8.06% |
| All-time (ann.) | 12.01% | 8.06% |
| Best Day | 10.5% | 8.98% |
| Worst Day | -5.85% | -7.08% |
| Best Month | 10.51% | 16.57% |
| Worst Month | -9.24% | -14.57% |
| Best Year | 26.18% | 20.9% |
| Worst Year | -18.18% | -12.49% |
| Avg. Drawdown | -1.93% | -5.23% |
| Avg. Drawdown Days | 21 | 70 |
| Recovery Factor | 2.6 | 1.73 |
| Ulcer Index | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| Serenity Index | 0.43 | 0.23 |
| Avg. Up Month | 4.27% | 5.68% |
| Avg. Down Month | -3.97% | -6.12% |
| Win Days | 53.56% | 51.35% |
| Win Month | 62.3% | 55.74% |
| Win Quarter | 71.43% | 66.67% |
| Win Year | 83.33% | 66.67% |
| Beta | - | 1.04 |
| Alpha | - | -0.03 |
| Correlation | - | 79.85% |
| Treynor Ratio | - | 45.03% |
| Year | SPY | PCFIX | Multiplier | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 1.73 | -9.21 | -5.33 | - |
| 2022 | -18.18 | -12.49 | 0.69 | + |
| 2023 | 26.18 | 18.02 | 0.69 | - |
| 2024 | 24.89 | 20.90 | 0.84 | - |
| 2025 | 18.15 | 8.21 | 0.45 | - |
| 2026 | 13.33 | 19.76 | 1.48 | + |
| Started | Recovered | Drawdown | Days |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-09 | 2024-03-12 | -29.47 | 855 |
| 2024-11-26 | 2025-12-09 | -28.08 | 379 |
| 2024-08-01 | 2024-09-18 | -9.44 | 49 |
| 2026-08-05 | 2026-11-04 | -9.15 | 92 |
| 2026-02-11 | 2026-04-15 | -8.86 | 64 |
| 2024-04-01 | 2024-07-10 | -7.66 | 101 |
| 2026-05-07 | 2026-05-22 | -4.74 | 16 |
| 2024-10-21 | 2024-11-05 | -4.07 | 16 |
| 2026-06-15 | 2026-08-03 | -3.74 | 50 |
| 2024-11-12 | 2024-11-22 | -3.47 | 11 |