| Metric | SPY | PCF |
|---|---|---|
| Risk-Free Proxy | French RF + recent BIL | French RF + recent BIL |
| Time in Market | 100.0% | 93.0% |
| Cumulative Return | 14.39% | -7.67% |
| CAGR﹪ | 14.51% | -7.73% |
| Sharpe | 0.83 | -0.84 |
| Prob. Sharpe Ratio | 79.61% | 20.15% |
| Smart Sharpe | 0.82 | -0.82 |
| Sortino | 1.22 | -1.15 |
| Smart Sortino | 1.2 | -1.12 |
| Sortino/√2 | 0.86 | -0.82 |
| Smart Sortino/√2 | 0.85 | -0.79 |
| Omega | 1.2 | 0.91 |
| Max Drawdown | -8.88% | -11.96% |
| Max DD Date | 2026-03-30 | 2026-10-26 |
| Max DD Period Start | 2026-01-28 | 2026-02-19 |
| Max DD Period End | 2026-04-13 | 2026-11-04 |
| Longest DD Days | 76 | 259 |
| Volatility (ann.) | 12.86% | 12.89% |
| R^2 | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Information Ratio | -0.1 | -0.1 |
| Calmar | 1.63 | -0.65 |
| Skew | -0.02 | 0.08 |
| Kurtosis | 0.78 | 1.7 |
| Ulcer Performance Index | 6.68 | -1.23 |
| Risk-Adjusted Return | 14.51% | -8.31% |
| Risk-Return Ratio | 0.07 | -0.04 |
| Avg. Return | 0.04% | -0.03% |
| Avg. Win | 0.73% | 0.68% |
| Avg. Loss | -0.7% | -0.74% |
| Win/Loss Ratio | 1.04 | 0.92 |
| Profit Ratio | 1.02 | 0.8 |
| Expected Daily | 0.05% | -0.03% |
| Expected Monthly | 1.04% | -0.61% |
| Expected Yearly | 6.95% | -3.91% |
| Kelly Criterion | 5.72% | -8.76% |
| Risk of Ruin | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daily Value-at-Risk | -1.28% | -1.36% |
| Expected Shortfall (cVaR) | -1.66% | -1.88% |
| Max Consecutive Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Max Consecutive Losses | 4 | 9 |
| Gain/Pain Ratio | 0.2 | -0.09 |
| Gain/Pain (1M) | 1.83 | -0.35 |
| Payoff Ratio | 1.04 | 0.92 |
| Profit Factor | 1.2 | 0.91 |
| Common Sense Ratio | 1.19 | 0.8 |
| CPC Index | 0.65 | 0.4 |
| Tail Ratio | 0.99 | 0.88 |
| Outlier Win Ratio | 2.84 | 4.26 |
| Outlier Loss Ratio | 3.01 | 3.4 |
| MTD | 1.47% | 1.6% |
| 3M | 1.46% | -0.56% |
| 6M | 6.94% | -5.45% |
| YTD | 13.33% | -8.33% |
| 1Y | 14.39% | -7.67% |
| 3Y (ann.) | 14.51% | -7.73% |
| 5Y (ann.) | 14.51% | -7.73% |
| 10Y (ann.) | 14.51% | -7.73% |
| All-time (ann.) | 14.51% | -7.73% |
| Best Day | 2.91% | 2.9% |
| Worst Day | -2.58% | -2.67% |
| Best Month | 10.51% | 5.47% |
| Worst Month | -4.94% | -6.87% |
| Best Year | 13.33% | 0.72% |
| Worst Year | 0.94% | -8.33% |
| Avg. Drawdown | -1.74% | -3.77% |
| Avg. Drawdown Days | 14 | 70 |
| Recovery Factor | 1.61 | 0.6 |
| Ulcer Index | 0.02 | 0.06 |
| Serenity Index | 0.94 | -0.08 |
| Avg. Up Month | 3.88% | 3.37% |
| Avg. Down Month | -1.61% | -3.22% |
| Win Days | 52.0% | 47.84% |
| Win Month | 61.54% | 30.77% |
| Win Quarter | 80.0% | 40.0% |
| Win Year | 100.0% | 50.0% |
| Beta | - | 0.4 |
| Alpha | - | -0.13 |
| Correlation | - | 40.3% |
| Treynor Ratio | - | -18.98% |
| Year | SPY | PCF | Multiplier | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.94 | 0.72 | 0.77 | - |
| 2026 | 13.33 | -8.33 | -0.62 | - |
| Started | Recovered | Drawdown | Days |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-19 | 2026-11-04 | -11.96 | 259 |
| 2025-12-10 | 2026-02-17 | -3.61 | 70 |
| 2025-11-12 | 2025-11-26 | -2.65 | 15 |
| 2025-12-01 | 2025-12-03 | -0.48 | 3 |
| 2025-12-08 | 2025-12-08 | -0.16 | 1 |